---
id: 20260529-T0-06
title: "Altman和Amodei撤回AI取代就业预测"
title_en: "Altman and Amodei Walk Back AI Job Apocalypse Predictions"
url: https://ai.daily.yangsir.net/daily/20260529-T0-06
issue_date: 2026-05-29
publish_date: 2026-05-28T19:43:14.000Z
category: news
source_name: "HN AI 精选"
source_url: https://fortune.com/2026/05/26/sam-altman-dario-amodei-walking-back-ai-jobs-apocalypse-prophecies-ipo/
---

# Altman和Amodei撤回AI取代就业预测

OpenAI CEO Altman和Anthropic CEO Amodei相继软化对AI取代就业的激进预测。Altman称需要10-15年而非5年，Amodei承认可能永远不会完全取代。两人态度转变反映业界对AI实际能力评估趋于理性，有助于缓解公众对AI失业的过度担忧。

## English Version

**Altman and Amodei Walk Back AI Job Apocalypse Predictions**

OpenAI's Altman and Anthropic's Amodei have softened their predictions about AI displacing jobs. Altman now estimates 10-15 years rather than 5, while Amodei acknowledges full replacement may never happen. Their shift reflects more realistic industry assessments of AI's actual capabilities, helping to alleviate public anxiety about job displacement.

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**来源**：[HN AI 精选](https://fortune.com/2026/05/26/sam-altman-dario-amodei-walking-back-ai-jobs-apocalypse-prophecies-ipo/)

**详情页**：https://ai.daily.yangsir.net/daily/20260529-T0-06

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